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 "Although gold is unmatched by any other commodity as a leading indicator of inflation, its spot price can also be affected dramatically by safe-haven capital flows. The inflation signal can be purified by monitoring how gold is priced in forward markets." Interest-Rate Outlook – 8/22 |
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~ R. David Ranson, President and Director of Research HCWE & Co. |
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 Interest-Rate Outlook |
| Why gold is not presently serving as an inflation hedge |
| Although gold is unmatched by any other commodity as a leading indicator of inflation, its spot price can also be affected dramatically by safe-haven capital flows. The inflation signal can be purified by monitoring how gold is priced in forward markets. |
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International Forecaster |
| What emerging-world currency instability teaches about inflation |
| The emerging world is a laboratory for economic policy. The cost of living rises in proportion to currency depreciation --- approximately in the short run, but very precisely in the long. Currency movements occur first, followed by consumer prices a few months later. The more unstable the currency, the quicker inflation ensues. |
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Fixed-Income Barometer |
| "Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of September 1, 2022 |
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International Barometer |
| "Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of September 1, 2022 |
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Sector Watch |
| "Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of September 1, 2022 |
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Webcast Summary |
| Inflation, Commodity Markets, and Energy Investments |
| Contrary to popular belief, increasing energy prices are not a wild card that boosts inflation and retards economic growth. Largely, they are a painful consequence of inflation, or a natural consequence of growth -- and sometimes both. |
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