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 "The stock market often bounces back from a sharp setback -- but not always. The difference depends on the extent to which temporary anxieties are responsible for the market's fall. The VIX indicator is an objective measure of that. When very high, uncertainty is strongly bullish. It is not high now." Webcast Summary – 10/22 |
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~ R. David Ranson, President and Director of Research HCWE & Co. |
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 Economy Watch |
| Don't count on rate hikes to bring inflation down |
| According to the Fed, its central task is to struggle with a profound tradeoff. To achieve lower inflation the economy must endure the consequences of higher interest rates. But does such a tradeoff really exist? |
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International Forecaster |
| The dollar's 'strength' symptomizes fear and weakness |
| The investment community is wrong to describe as "strength" the dollar's performance relative to other currencies. At present its gain is an expression of flight to security or liquidity: a sign of collective turmoil and anxiety in an international system of depreciating currencies. |
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Fixed-Income Barometer |
| "Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of November 1, 2022 |
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International Barometer |
| "Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of November 1, 2022 |
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Sector Watch |
| "Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of November 1, 2022 |
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Webcast Summary |
| The Stock Market's Estimate Of Its Own Upside Potential |
| The stock market often bounces back from a sharp setback -- but not always. The difference depends on the extent to which temporary anxieties are responsible for the market's fall. The VIX indicator is an objective measure of that. When very high, uncertainty is strongly bullish. It is not high now. |
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