Markets Forecasting Markets

HCWE Publications

HCWE publications (PDFs) are available to clients and the public and can be accessed via the Archives menu option. Clients with active subscriptions can Sign In to access 'restricted' content (less than two years old) from the segments to which they subscribe. Clients may also request copies of publications by email at any time. Students, researchers and the public may freely access 'unrestricted' publications (more than two years old).

Important Message to Subsribers Regarding Email Delivery

Over 3500 HCWE publications are available online. You can view and print lists from this link:

Publications List Builder

See recent Webcasts on: HCWE on YouTube

Call: US 978-468-4575 or send us a message.

How to access PDFs from Adobe Cloud: Get Help

Market-driven tools for asset allocation and strategic investment

The Markets Message

HCWE supports the institutional investment community in formulating investment strategies through intelligent use of market data and superior understanding of how markets have behaved over time. Markets forecast Markets!

With many decades in the business of capital-market analysis and reporting, HCWE remains one of the most dependable resources for innovative research designed specifically for the institutional investor.

We distribute our research findings in a variety of periodic reports with telephone and video conferences and occasional on-site briefings.

Find out how HCWE Insight can work for you. Contact us at: +1(978)468-4575 or send us a message.

R. David Ranson,
President and
Director of Research,
HCWE & Co.

Highlights from Recent Publications

Authorized users can view recent publications by signing in and visiting the Archives

Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Economic and Investment Observations
Inflation's comeback - 04/30/2024
Inflation is not the mystery that so many people think. Empirically, the prices of two commodities, gold and oil, can easily explain and anticipate its ups and downs.
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Economy Watch
Inflation is mostly a simple tale of two commodities - 04/30/2024
The prices of just two pivotal commodities suffice to explain the inflation rate nearly completely. And the interpretation is just as straightforward.
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Fixed-Income Barometer
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 05/17/2024
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Economic Barometer
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 04/30/2024
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Sector Watch
"Market forecasts" for the coming twelve months as of 05/15/2024
Market-Driven Tools for Asset Allocation  Synopsis
Briefing Points on the Economic and Market Outlook - 04/30/2024
The onset and abatement of geopolitical risk has been a major factor in the behavior of capital markets and the economy in the past two years. In the third quarter, capital-market anxiety diminished, allowing the price of crude oil to rise from $71.65 at the end of December to 83.71 at the end of March. This is bearish for next year's stock market, but this year's market is still responding favorably to the fall in energy prices last year. The rising price of oil fully explains why.

Get the stories behind the headlines! Contact HCWE & Co. at +1(978)468-4575
or send us a message.

HCWE In the News

Wainwright in the news
bullet New! Think Inflation Is Cooling? Think Again. Randall W. Forsyth,, May 18, 2024 Read
bullet Dr. David Ranson's 2024 Financial Forecast, The Financial Quarterback, YouTube 2/10/2024 Play
bullet Taming the Inflation Beast, S. Constable, Briefings, Jan-Feb, 2024 Read
bullet What's Really Driving Inflation? It Ain't The Federal Reserve, S. Constable,, 8/28/23 Read
bullet What G.D.P.'s Cousin Can Tell Us About the Economy, P. Coy, New York Times, 8/8/23 Read
bullet How The Government Is Making The Silicon Valley Bank Crisis Worse, S. Constable,, 4/23/23 Read
bullet Why It's So Hard to Stop Inflation, Virtual Presentation, CFA Switzarland, 2/9/2023 Watch
bullet Norm Reversion for Oil Indicates Less-Than-Transitory Inflation, Opinion, Real Clear Markets, 3/6/2023 Read
bullet The Fed's Dim Chances - Podcast, The Independent Research Forum, 1/30/2023 [Play]
bullet Will Federal Reserve Rate Hikes Pull Down Inflation?, S. Constable,, 12/27/2022 Read
bullet Recession Still Nowhere To Be Seen, S. Constable,, 12/19/2022 Read
bullet Inflation Is About the Quality of Money, Not Quantity, David Ranson, Barron's - Economy & Policy, 11/25/22 Read